{"id":166387,"date":"2025-09-21T11:24:17","date_gmt":"2025-09-21T17:24:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/elotroenfoque.mx\/?p=166387"},"modified":"2025-09-21T11:24:18","modified_gmt":"2025-09-21T17:24:18","slug":"senales-de-fragilidad-pib-crecio-0-1-en-agosto","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/elotroenfoque.mx\/index.php\/2025\/09\/21\/senales-de-fragilidad-pib-crecio-0-1-en-agosto\/","title":{"rendered":"Se\u00f1ales de fragilidad: PIB creci\u00f3 0.1% en agosto"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">De acuerdo con un <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.excelsior.com.mx\/nacional\/sube-01-la-actividad-economica-en-agosto\/1343775\">an\u00e1lisis de El Exc\u00e9lsior <\/a><\/em> durante agosto de 2025 la actividad econ\u00f3mica habr\u00eda registrado un crecimiento de 0.1% frente al mes previo, de acuerdo con informaci\u00f3n adelantada del Instituto Nacional de Estad\u00edstica Geograf\u00eda (Inegi).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-white-color has-vivid-red-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\">El medio se refiere a los datos del Indicador Oportuno de la Actividad Econ\u00f3mica (IOAE) los cuales se\u00f1alan que las actividades secundarias o industriales no habr\u00edan crecido, mientras que las terciarias o del comercio y los servicios habr\u00edan avanzado apenas 0.1 por ciento en el octavo mes del a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para julio, el Inegi revis\u00f3 a la baja el crecimiento de la econom\u00eda, a -0.53%, desde la estimaci\u00f3n inicial de -0.06% mensual.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-white-color has-midnight-gradient-background has-text-color has-background has-link-color wp-elements-2 wp-block-paragraph\">Las cifras prev\u00e9n una p\u00e9rdida de dinamismo en los principales grupos de actividades econ\u00f3micas, en particular de las rela cionadas a la industria manufacturera. Con relaci\u00f3n a las actividades secundarias se espera una disminuci\u00f3n mensual de 1.2% en julio y un estancamiento en agosto. En las actividades terciarias, se anticipa una ca\u00edda de 0.2% en julio, pero con un posible impulso para el periodo agosto, se\u00f1alaron analistas del grupo financiero Monex.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Reconocen que los pro n\u00f3sticos de julio y agosto apuntan a un menor dinamismo en la actividad eco<br>n\u00f3mica, rumbo a las cifras de cierre del tercer trimestre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Este desempe\u00f1o se explica principalmente por la debilidad observada en las actividades secunda<br>rias, que entre enero junio acumularon una ca\u00edda de 1.3% a tasa anual, reflejando un comportamiento he<br>terog\u00e9neo entre sectores como la construcci\u00f3n y las manufacturas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Al mismo tiempo, las actividades terciarias comienzan a moderar su ritmo de crecimiento, lo que a\u00f1ade<br>retos adicionales para las expectativas de crecimiento del tercer trimestre del a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gabriela Siller, directora de An\u00e1lisis Econ\u00f3mico de Banco Base, mencion\u00f3 que, &#8220;asumiendo que en septiembre el crecimiento de la actividad econ\u00f3mica es igual a cero, en el tercer trimestre el PIB mostrar\u00eda<br>una contracci\u00f3n trimestral de 0.30% una contracci\u00f3n anual de 0.01 por ciento&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Detall\u00f3 que en el acumulado de los primeros nueve meses del 2025 la actividad econ\u00f3mica mostrar\u00eda un<br>crecimiento de 0.61% res pecto al mismo periodo del a\u00f1o previo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El Indicador oportuno de la Actividad Econ\u00f3mica (IOAE) se\u00f1ala que las actividades secundarias o industriales no habr\u00edan tenido alzas<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":159610,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[4517],"class_list":["post-166387","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias","tag-noticias-guanajuato"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Se\u00f1ales de fragilidad: PIB creci\u00f3 0.1% en agosto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Las actividades terciarias comienzan a moderar su ritmo de crecimiento\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/elotroenfoque.mx\/index.php\/2025\/09\/21\/senales-de-fragilidad-pib-crecio-0-1-en-agosto\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" 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